Lebannon Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$3.6m Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$3.6m Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
96%
March 31

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
$58k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$58k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
$4k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
96%
April 2

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
$213k Vol.
$88k Liq.
13
Ends in 2 months
$213k Vol.$88k Liq.13Ends in 2 months
14%
Lebanese Forces (LF)

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
$16 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$16 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$134k Vol.
$19k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$19k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$127k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$127k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
92%
March 24

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$142k Vol.
$13k Liq.
15
Ends in about 8 hours
$142k Vol.$13k Liq.15Ends in about 8 hours
1%
Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
29%
December 31

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$71k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$71k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
6%
April 30

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.4m Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$495k today
1
Ends in about 8 hours
$2.4m Vol.🔥$495k today$18k Liq.1Ends in about 8 hours
93%
March 30

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$195k Liq.
🔥$234k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$234k today$195k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
97%
Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$165k Vol.
$142k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$165k Vol.$142k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Bahrain

How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$15k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
47%
≥4

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$329k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$329k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
78%
3

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$38k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$38k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$337k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$337k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
16
Ends in about 8 hours
$390k Vol.$12k Liq.16Ends in about 8 hours
4%
Yes