Lebannon Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$14k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

99%

April 1

L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

$221k Vol.
$93k Liq.
13
Ends in about 2 months

14%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

$58k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

$31 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

$95k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

8%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$50k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

99%

April 1

I
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$159k Vol.
$10k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

$6k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

7%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$172k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

44%

March 28

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$925k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

24%

Yes

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$4.0m Vol.
$850k Liq.
🔥$234k today
Ended

100%

Bahrain

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$231k Vol.
$811k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

Bahrain

H
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

$50k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

100%

April 2

N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$408k Vol.
$10k Liq.
17
Ended

42%

June 30, 2026

H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

$29k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

45%

3

I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$432k Vol.
$34k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

41%

June 30

H
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

$2.5m Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ended

94%

Yes

W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

$356k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

27%

Kuwait

W
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$55k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

11%

Kuwait