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Macro Fed Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveEconomy1Interest RatesFedInflationUS PoliticsFed RatesEconomyMentionsEuropeDerivativesPowellTrump PresidencyMacro FedParlaysJapanJerome PowellCpiRecurringTrade WarEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsJobs ReportRateOvernightLIBORSecured Overnight Financing Rate
Fed decision in March?

Finance·Macro Fed

Fed decision in March?

$78.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended

No Change

Fed decision in January?

Finance·Macro Fed

Fed decision in January?

$190.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,518
Ended

No Change

No Cut October

Economy·powell

No Cut October

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Price of Dozen Eggs in February

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of Dozen Eggs in February

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

$2.50–2.60

Price of dozen eggs in December?

Economy·Inflation

Price of dozen eggs in December?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

$2.50–2.75

Price of dozen eggs in November?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of dozen eggs in November?

$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

$2.75–3.00

Price of dozen eggs in October?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of dozen eggs in October?

$163k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

$3.25–3.50

Price of dozen eggs in September?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of dozen eggs in September?

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

$3.25-3.50

Price of dozen eggs in August?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of dozen eggs in August?

$329k Vol.
$0 Liq.
49
Ended

$3.50-3.75

Price of dozen eggs in May?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of dozen eggs in May?

$526k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended

$4.50-4.75

Price of dozen eggs in June?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of dozen eggs in June?

$301k Vol.
$0 Liq.
446
Ended

3.75-4

Price of dozen eggs in April?

Economy·Economic Policy

Price of dozen eggs in April?

$874k Vol.
$0 Liq.
59
Ended

$5.00-5.25

Price of dozen eggs in July?

Economy·Macro Indicators

Price of dozen eggs in July?

$320k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended

$3.5-3.75

Will SOFR hit __ in February?

Finance·interest rates

Will SOFR hit __ in February?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

↑3.73%

Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

September meeting

What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Mentions·Economic Policy

What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended

Payroll

Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

↓ 80%

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

Economy·All

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

$49.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
195
Ended

4 (100 bps)

Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·federal reserve

Fed rate cut by...?

$31.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
267
Ended

September 18

Fed decision in December?

Politics·Fed Rates

Fed decision in December?

$58.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,504
Ended

25 bps decrease