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Manchin Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

AllPoliticsJoe BidenUSA ElectionRepublican PartyVivek RamaswamyRepublicans2024 Presidential ElectionTrumpNikki HaleyElectionsDemocratic PartyRon DesantisPresidential ElectionBidenNominationUS Elections2024 ElectionU.S. PoliticsPresidential NominationDonald Trump Jr.2024 NominationPrimariesPresidential Election 2024SenatesPrimary ElectionVirginiaAnnouncementsManchinCongressAmerican PoliticsSuper TuesdayTexasTweet MarketsGop2024 Presidential NominationRepublicanRepublican PrimariesColin AllredMeri GomezMark GonzalezRoland GutierrezRobert HassanSteven KeoughCarl ShermanHeli Rodriguez PrillimanThierry TchenkoState Presidential ElectionSenateGovernor RacesKamalaBiden Drop OutDem NomineeMorriseyWilliamsKaineHung CaoCaoElliotJusticeJimJohn FettermanTexas SenateMarch 3 Primaries
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?

Politics·manchin

Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Joe Manchin endorse Kamala?

Politics·Kamala

Will Joe Manchin endorse Kamala?

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee?

Politics·Dem Nominee

Will Joe Manchin run for Democratic Nominee?

$115k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor?

Politics·USA Election

Will Joe Manchin run for West Virginia Governor?

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?

All

President Biden's Jan 19 press conference: Will he mention... ?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Biden D-Nom replacement?

Politics·USA Election

Biden D-Nom replacement?

$22.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended

Kamala Harris

Who will call for Biden to drop out?

Politics·Biden Drop Out

Who will call for Biden to drop out?

$415k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Joe Manchin

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

Politics·senates

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Republican

Politics·Primaries

Texas Democratic Senate Primary

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Colin Allred

Virginia Senate Republican Primary Winner

Elections·us elections

Virginia Senate Republican Primary Winner

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Hung Cao

Virginia Senate Election Winner

Politics·senates

Virginia Senate Election Winner

$194k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

Democrat

The Thiel Parlay

All

The Thiel Parlay

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Lettuce vs. Biden - Who lasts longer?

Politics·Biden Drop Out

Lettuce vs. Biden - Who lasts longer?

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Lettuce

Maryland Senate Democratic Primary Winner

All

Maryland Senate Democratic Primary Winner

$120k Vol.
$105 Liq.
Ended

Angela Alsobrooks

West Virginia Governor Election Winner

Politics·Governor Races

West Virginia Governor Election Winner

$285k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Republican

West Virginia Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

West Virginia Presidential Election Winner

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Donald Trump

Democratic senator calls on Fetterman to resign in May?

Politics·Senate

Democratic senator calls on Fetterman to resign in May?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

Zelenskyy # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

Zelenskyy # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

60-79

Republican Nominee 2024

Politics·Trump

Republican Nominee 2024

$9.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

Donald Trump

Biden vetos Bill repealing crypto accounting rule?

Politics·Congress

Biden vetos Bill repealing crypto accounting rule?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Yes