Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 142 markets

[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

$7.2m Vol.
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71
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Kamala Harris

[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

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Donald Trump

Democratic Nominee 2024

Democratic Nominee 2024

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2,486
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Kamala Harris

Republican Nominee 2024

Republican Nominee 2024

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Donald Trump

Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?

Yes

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

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5
Ends in 9 months

Trump Announce Fed

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

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January 30

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

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35
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January 31, 2026

Biden drops out before May?

Biden · u.s. 2024 republican presidential nomination

Biden drops out before May?

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Ended

No

[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

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5
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Nikki Haley

GDP growth in 2025

GDP growth in 2025

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15
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2.0–2.5%

When will Trump announce VP pick?

When will Trump announce VP pick?

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July

Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

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No

Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

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Yes

Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

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Yes

Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?

Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?

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No

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

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No

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

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No

Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?

Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?

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No