Mayor Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

42%
Karen Bass

NYC Mayor # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$18k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 1 day
68%
20-39

NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$16k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
60%
20-39

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$810 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$810 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
20-39

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
$43k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$43k Vol.$21k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$16k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$8.8m Vol.
$617k Liq.
🔥$689k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$8.8m Vol.🔥$689k today$617k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
$2.4m Vol.
$92k Liq.
🔥$57k today
5
Ends in 2 months
$2.4m Vol.🔥$57k today$92k Liq.5Ends in 2 months
93%
Park Chan-dae

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
28%
Yes

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
$2.1m Vol.
$137k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$2.1m Vol.$137k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
96%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
$241k Vol.
$79k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$241k Vol.$79k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Chun Jae-soo

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

89%
Ras Baraka

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
$100k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
47%
Kenyan McDuffie

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?
$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$1k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$15k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$15k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$17k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$17k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes