Mayoral Election Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$772k Vol.
$97k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$772k Vol.$97k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
43%
Karen Bass

89%
Ras Baraka

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.1m Vol.
$635k Liq.
🔥$908k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$9.1m Vol.🔥$908k today$635k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
$2.4m Vol.
$110k Liq.
5
Ends in 2 months
$2.4m Vol.$110k Liq.5Ends in 2 months
93%
Park Chan-dae

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
$241k Vol.
$85k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$241k Vol.$85k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
72%
Chun Jae-soo

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$14k Liq.
62
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$14k Liq.62Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$18k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$18k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$7k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in about 4 hours
$73k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
$2.1m Vol.
$149k Liq.
3
Ends in 2 months
$2.1m Vol.$149k Liq.3Ends in 2 months
95%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$29k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$29k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
$100k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
52%
Janeese Lewis George

NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$16k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
60%
20-39

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
$140k Vol.
$101k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
$140k Vol.$101k Liq.21Ends in 6 months
35%
Ronaldo Caiado

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
$48k Vol.
$11k Liq.
20
Ends in 6 months
$48k Vol.$11k Liq.20Ends in 6 months
14%
Yes

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
$2.7m Vol.
$140k Liq.
11
Ends in 6 months
$2.7m Vol.$140k Liq.11Ends in 6 months
57%
Flávio Bolsonaro

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$942 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$942 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
60%
20-39

NYC Mayor # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 20 hours
91%
20-39