Nate Silver Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

T
Trump approval rating on April 3?

Trump approval rating on April 3?

$154k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

46%

39.0–39.4

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

9%

Up

H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$43k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

36%

35%

H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

12%

↑ 44%

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

25%

April 30

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

$129k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Down