Approvals Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
41%
39.5–39.9
30%
Up
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$84 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$84 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
50%
Up
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
23%
Yes
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$3k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
45%
Yes
83%
April 30
4%
Yes
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$12k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$12k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
56%
December 31
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$80k Vol.$60k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
↑ 44%
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
35%
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
28%
Yes
61%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes