United Kingdom Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
$528k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$528k Vol.$65k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
$84 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$84 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
50%
Up
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$17k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
55%
0.0-0.3%
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$4.0m Vol.
$640k Liq.
44
Ends in 9 months
$4.0m Vol.$640k Liq.44Ends in 9 months
41%
No Next PM in 2026
60%
December 31
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
$4.8m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$4.8m Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
$125k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in about 9 hours
$125k Vol.$14k Liq.21Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
$2.2m Vol.
$17k Liq.
12
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.2m Vol.$17k Liq.12Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$45k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$45k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$179k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$179k Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$149k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India
Eurovision Winner 2026
$50.9m Vol.
$7.5m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
248
Ends in about 2 months
$50.9m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$7.5m Liq.248Ends in about 2 months
35%
Finland
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$647k Vol.
$142k Liq.
🔥$375k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$647k Vol.🔥$375k today$142k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
30%
United States
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$246k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$246k today$183k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
Bahrain
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
$5.0m Vol.
$640k Liq.
🔥$93k today
4
Ends in about 2 months
$5.0m Vol.🔥$93k today$640k Liq.4Ends in about 2 months
34%
Israel
Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner
$643k Vol.
$601k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$643k Vol.$601k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
33%
Australia