Pm Predictions & Odds· 3874 markets
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$4.0m Vol.
$739k Liq.
44
Ends in 9 months
$4.0m Vol.$739k Liq.44Ends in 9 months
37%
No Next PM in 2026
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
$314k Vol.
$19k Liq.
111
Ends in 9 months
$314k Vol.$19k Liq.111Ends in 9 months
36%
December 31, 2026
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
$160 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$160 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)
$579 Vol.
$792 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$579 Vol.$792 Liq.Ends in 4 days
89%
March 30
Geopolitics · Politics
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
$101k Vol.
$42k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$42k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
22%
December 31, 2026
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
51%
Yes
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$146k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
54%
June
Soccer · Sports
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
$427.9m Vol.
$49.6m Liq.
🔥$17.2m today
451
Ends in 4 months
$427.9m Vol.🔥$17.2m today$49.6m Liq.451Ends in 4 months
16%
Spain
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.0m Vol.
$4.6m Liq.
🔥$6.2m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$89.0m Vol.🔥$6.2m today$4.6m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$12.2m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$3.6m today
2
Ends in 4 days
$12.2m Vol.🔥$3.6m today$1.2m Liq.2Ends in 4 days
17%
240-259
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$57.4m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$57.4m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$2.8m Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.1m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
427
Ends in about 1 month
$18.1m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$4.4m Liq.427Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30
Eurovision Winner 2026
$50.7m Vol.
$8.3m Liq.
🔥$3.0m today
248
Ends in about 2 months
$50.7m Vol.🔥$3.0m today$8.3m Liq.248Ends in about 2 months
35%
Finland
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,261
$62.8m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$1.4m Liq.1,261
73%
December 31
Sports · Formula 1
F1 Drivers' Champion
$68.1m Vol.
$11.1m Liq.
🔥$2.7m today
138
Ends in 8 months
$68.1m Vol.🔥$2.7m today$11.1m Liq.138Ends in 8 months
44%
George Russell
Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$2.4m today
1
Ends in 1 day
$9.1m Vol.🔥$2.4m today$2.1m Liq.1Ends in 1 day
47%
220-239
Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$300k Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
Ends in about 3 hours
$2.8m Vol.🔥$1.6m today$300k Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
85%
40-64
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$50.2m Vol.
$766k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
104
Ends in 12 days
$50.2m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$766k Liq.104Ends in 12 days
69%
TISZA
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
$52.6m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 9 months
$52.6m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$2.5m Liq.Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Next French Presidential Election
$23.6m Vol.
$3.1m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
362
Ends in about 1 year
$23.6m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$3.1m Liq.362Ends in about 1 year
27%
Édouard Philippe