Legal Predictions & Odds· 253 markets
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
52%
December 31
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$242k Vol.
$76k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days
$242k Vol.$76k Liq.5Ends in 18 days
93%
Yes
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$362k Vol.
$95k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$362k Vol.$95k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
2%
BNP Paribas
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.2m Vol.
$216k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.2m Vol.$216k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
H
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
$131k Vol.
$121k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$131k Vol.$121k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
43%
0
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$41k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$41k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
29%
December 31
A
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$21k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$21k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
N
8%
Yes
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$116k Vol.
$14k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$14k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
T
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
$1k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
W
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$13k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
W
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
$33k Vol.
$66k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$33k Vol.$66k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
3%
Yes
W
13%
Yes
T
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
$53k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in 9 months
47%
Yes
S
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
$38k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$38k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
$55k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$229k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$229k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
W
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
$15k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$15k Vol.$18k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
W
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$76k Vol.
$19k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$19k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
W
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
$195k Vol.
$14k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$14k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
81%
Alana Haim