World Affairs Predictions & Odds· 180 markets

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$208k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$208k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
$1.9m Vol.
$98k Liq.
87
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$98k Liq.87Ends in 9 months
82%
December 31

18%
Yes

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
43%
April 30

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

47%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$51k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$51k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 4 days
43%
160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$149k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$149k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 1 day
65%
160-179

NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 13 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 13 hours
83%
April 30

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$364k Vol.
$196k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$364k Vol.$196k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
59%
Pakistan

Esports · league of legends
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$3k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 1 day
94%
Bilibili Gaming

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
$7k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
24%
April 30

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$110k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$701k Vol.$110k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
34%
7

Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - More Markets
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$496k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$496k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Sports · Games
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - More Markets
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

