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Nato Predictions & Odds· 254 markets

AllPoliticsWarInternational RelationsSecurityRussiaUkraineTrumpU.S. PoliticsSwedenNatoMilitaryPutinCeasefireWorld AffairsMilitary ActionsGlobal PoliticsPolandEuGermanyGeopoliticsMentionsEuropeDenmarkTrump PresidencyGreenland2025 PredictionsForeign PolicyWorldTrump PutinTrump ZelenskyySecurity Guarantee
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?

Politics·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by January 31?

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?

Politics·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?

$429k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

No

NATO article 5 by November 30?

Politics·security

NATO article 5 by November 30?

$474 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

Politics·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

$398k Vol.
$4 Liq.
16
Ended

December 31

Will Sweden join NATO by March 31?

Politics·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by March 31?

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

Politics·Military Actions

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

$303k Vol.
$0 Liq.
85
Ended

September 30

Will Austria join NATO by December 31?

World·world affairs

Will Austria join NATO by December 31?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will Trump attend NATO Summit?

Trump · Trump Presidency

Will Trump attend NATO Summit?

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Yes

NATO article 5 before March?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

NATO article 5 before March?

$738k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?

Geopolitics·putin

Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

What will Trump say during NATO Summit speech on June 25?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during NATO Summit speech on June 25?

$260k Vol.
$0 Liq.
227
Ended

Iran / Israel 15+ times

Will US leave NATO by June 30?

Geopolitics·nato

Will US leave NATO by June 30?

$622k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

No

Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by...?

Politics·nato

Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by...?

$162k Vol.
$0 Liq.
48

September 30

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?

Politics·Ukraine

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?

$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?

Geopolitics·Greenland

Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Geopolitics·Russia

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

$3.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

No

Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?

Politics·U.S. Politics

Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?

$108k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Will Germany declare a state of emergency in February?

Geopolitics·Germany

Will Germany declare a state of emergency in February?

$213k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

No

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?

All

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?

All

Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended