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Military Predictions & Odds· 1627 markets

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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?

Politics·Israel

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?

Politics·hamas

Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

Will Russia invade Alaska before March?

Politics·Russia

Will Russia invade Alaska before March?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?

Politics·Israel

Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?

$409k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20?

Politics·Israel

Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20?

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will US attack Iran in 2023?

Politics·us

Will US attack Iran in 2023?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?

Politics·us

US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?

$112k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended

No

US strike against Houthis by Friday?

Politics·us

US strike against Houthis by Friday?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will China invade Taiwan in 2023?

Politics·Taiwan Election

Will China invade Taiwan in 2023?

$100k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?

Politics·Army

Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

No

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Geopolitics·Russia

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

$3.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

No

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

Politics·North Korea

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?

Politics·Ukraine

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?

$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

No

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Politics·China

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

$5.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
158
Ended

No

Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April?

Politics·azerbaijan

Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April?

$139k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?

Politics·Ukraine

Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

Politics·us

US call for Gaza ceasefire before February?

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

Politics·Hezbollah

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

Politics·Sweden

Will Sweden join NATO by...?

$398k Vol.
$4 Liq.
16
Ended

December 31

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?

Politics·Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No