Foreign Affairs Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

$1.3m Vol.
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No

Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

$148k Vol.
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No

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?

All

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?

$129k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

All

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

$7k Vol.
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Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

December 31

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

$497k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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September 30

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

$331k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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No

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

All · Gaza

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

$28k Vol.
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Not by April 19

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

All

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

$62k Vol.
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Yes

Ecuador Presidential Election

Ecuador Presidential Election

$4.9m Vol.
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1,324
Ended

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

$157k Vol.
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73
Ended

<$1b / No token in 2024

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

$366k Vol.
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46
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No

@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

$12k Vol.
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1
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Yes

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

$283k Vol.
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5
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<125

Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

$18k Vol.
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9
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No

Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?

Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?

$591k Vol.
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18
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<300