Foreign Affairs Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

19%

April 30

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k Vol.
$12k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?

Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?

$177k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$56k today
22
Ended

0%

Yes

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$36k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months

14%

June 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

39%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$16k Liq.
66

24%

Isfahan nuclear facility

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?

$148k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?

All

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?

$129k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

All

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022?

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

December 31

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

Ukraine hits Moscow by....?

$497k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

September 30

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

$331k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

All · Gaza

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Not by April 19

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

All

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes