Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 191 markets
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
$385k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$385k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$42k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$42k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$224k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$92k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$364k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$364k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$83k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$83k Vol.$16k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$63.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,262
$63.8m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.4m Liq.1,262
72%
December 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
$2.2m Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$2.2m Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$155k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$155k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$56k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$10k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$46k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$148k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$148k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$46k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$62k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31