Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 141 markets
0%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$37k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$37k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$31k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$31k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.9m Vol.
$459k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.🔥$242k today$459k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$230k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$1.1m Vol.$230k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$83k Vol.
$13k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$83k Vol.$13k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$65.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
1,275
$65.1m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$1.3m Liq.1,275
74%
December 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
$2.2m Vol.
$49k Liq.
1
Ended
$2.2m Vol.$49k Liq.1Ended
1%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$157k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$157k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 30 days
14%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$60k Vol.
$6k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$6k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$148k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$148k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$48k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$48k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$65k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$65k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes