Defense Predictions & Odds· 302 markets

Pete Hegseth nomination withdrawn by Friday?

Pete Hegseth nomination withdrawn by Friday?

$255k Vol.
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No

Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?

Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?

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No

US kicks trans members out of military before July?

US kicks trans members out of military before July?

$472k Vol.
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No

Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?

All

Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?

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Yes

Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?

Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?

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Yes

Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

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322
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Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?

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No

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

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No

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

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Other

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

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Yes

Which cities will Trump send  the National Guard to by September 30?

Trump · Trump Presidency

Which cities will Trump send the National Guard to by September 30?

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New York City

Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?

All

Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31?

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Yes