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Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?

Politics·defense

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?

$604k Vol.
$8k Liq.
36
Ended

0%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Politics·Iran

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$47k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

8%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

$282k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

0%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Politics·Hegseth

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

27%

Yes

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Geopolitics·Iran

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

$133k Vol.
$17k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months

65%

Yes

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

2%

Yes

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Politics·Trump

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

$133k Vol.
$20k Liq.
7
Ends in about 11 hours

74%

December 31

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Politics·Middle East

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$556k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours

24%

April 30

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Tech·Hegseth

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$44k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

19%

Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Politics·Ukraine

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$99k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Politics·Trump-Zelenskyy

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·astroid

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

43%

Yes

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

World·Trump-Zelenskyy

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months

14%

June 30

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Climate & Science·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$139k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·Science

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Climate & Science·Space

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$24k Liq.
61

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
107
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Sports · MLS

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

$27k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 8 months

35%

Andrew Privett