North Atlantic Treaty Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
N
8%
Yes
W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$623k Vol.
$313k Liq.
🔥$178k today
12
Ends in 9 months
$623k Vol.🔥$178k today$313k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
9%
December 31
W
Will any country leave NATO by...?
$639k Vol.
$153k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$639k Vol.$153k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
N
14%
Yes
W
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
$11k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$17k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$17k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$106k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$106k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$28k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$78k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$78k Vol.$23k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
N
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$88k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$88k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
December 31
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$71k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$71k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes