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North Atlantic Treaty Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

AllPoliticsGazaInternational RelationsSecurityRussiaUkraineTrumpMiddle EastIsraelU.S. PoliticsNATOWorld AffairsMilitary ActionsGeopoliticsMentionsTrump PresidencyTurkeyParlaysGreenlandForeign PolicyWorldUS Iran
W
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?

All

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY?

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NATO article 5 by November 30?

Politics·security

NATO article 5 by November 30?

$474 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W

All

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY?

All

Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY?

$908 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will NATO expand in 2022?

All

Will NATO expand in 2022?

$388k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will NATO expand by...?

All

Will NATO expand by...?

$82k Vol.
$26 Liq.
Ended

June 30

N
NATO Article 5 by March 31?

Politics·NATO

NATO Article 5 by March 31?

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

A
Another NATO article 4 by October 15?

World·Military Actions

Another NATO article 4 by October 15?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

N
NATO article 5 before March?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

NATO article 5 before March?

$738k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?

World·U.S. Politics

Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?

$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

W
Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?

Politics·Israel

Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

No

W
Will US leave NATO by June 30?

Geopolitics·NATO

Will US leave NATO by June 30?

$622k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

No

N
NATO article 5 in 2025?

Politics·world affairs

NATO article 5 in 2025?

$299k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Politics·Gaza

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

$635k Vol.
$0 Liq.
28
Ended

Yes

W
What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?

Mentions·world affairs

What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?

$139k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended

Defense 20+ times

W
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?

All

Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022?

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?

Geopolitics·Trump Presidency

Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?

$192k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

R
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

Geopolitics·NATO

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended

October 31

W
What will Trump say during meeting with NATO Secretary General today?

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump say during meeting with NATO Secretary General today?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

NATO 5+ times

W
What will Trump say during NATO Summit speech on June 25?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during NATO Summit speech on June 25?

$260k Vol.
$0 Liq.
227
Ended

Iran / Israel 15+ times