Open AI Predictions & Odds· 149 markets

O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

C
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

$67k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

41%

↑ 1550

W
Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

$3.1m Vol.
$601k Liq.
🔥$243k today
Ends in 28 days

95%

Anthropic

W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$851k Vol.
$158k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

90%

Anthropic

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m Vol.
$376k Liq.
65
Ends in 3 months

65%

Anthropic

W
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

$119k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

71%

Google

W
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

$21k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

88%

Anthropic

W
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$15k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

85%

Anthropic

W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$1.4m Vol.
$59k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months

28%

OpenAI

W
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

$9k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

52%

Google

W
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$335k Vol.
$110k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months

51%

Anthropic

W
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

$71k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$926k Vol.
$175k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months

51%

Anthropic

W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

$24k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

41%

None in 2026

C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$63k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days

57%

June 30

M
Meta "Mango" model released by...?

Meta "Mango" model released by...?

$22k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

S
San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons

Games · Basketball

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons

$0 Vol.
$117 Liq.
Ended

50%

San Jose State Spartans

A
Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)

Sports · Basketball

Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)

$137 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Nevada Wolf Pack

C
Colorado State Rams vs. Air Force Falcons (W)

Sports · Basketball

Colorado State Rams vs. Air Force Falcons (W)

$72 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Colorado State Rams

U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

$3.3m Vol.
$46k Liq.
164
Ends in 9 months

21%

December 31