Outages Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$345k Vol.
$24k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
$345k Vol.$24k Liq.23Ends in 3 months
75%
May 31
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
$730 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$730 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
54%
Yes
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$13k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
3%
Yes
8%
Yes
48%
↓ 19200
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$679 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$679 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 42600
1%
Yes
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$473 Vol.
$213 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$473 Vol.$213 Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
20%
Yes
