Peace Deals Predictions & Odds· 141 markets
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$189k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$189k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$69k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$69k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$366k Liq.
🔥$408k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$408k today$366k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$496k Liq.
🔥$261k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$261k today$496k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$142k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$142k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$3k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$3k Vol.$120k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
51%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$78k Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$78k Vol.$28k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$19k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$84k Vol.
$24k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$84k Vol.$24k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.6m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$6.7m today
1,412
$81.6m Vol.🔥$6.7m today$2.5m Liq.1,412
73%
December 31
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$101k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$101k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$87k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$87k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
30%
December 31
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$199k Vol.$99k Liq.Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$53k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$53k Liq.122Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$34k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$34k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30