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Popular Vote Predictions & Odds· 250 markets

AllPoliticsJoe BidenUSA ElectionRepublican PartyVivek Ramaswamy2024 Presidential ElectionTrumpNikki HaleyElectionsRon DesantisPresidential ElectionGavin NewsomKanye WestHillary ClintonKamala HarrisCanadaDemocratsPresidential Election 2024ElectionChris ChristiePalestineReferendumThird PartyElizabeth WarrenMichelle ObamaUS ElectionAocBernie SandersPopular VoteRFK JrVotingSwitzerlandGlobal ElectionsRFKElectoral College KamalaEuropeMargin Of VictoryGreen3rd PartyDenmarkTurnoutTurn OutKennedyLibertarianBallotElecotral CollegeSplitCreatorsDomerRecountTrump PresidencyCarneyMark CarneyWorldCanadian ElectionCzech ElectionReferendaDenmark Election
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Politics·US Election

Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

$14.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
106
Ended

GOP by <1.5%

Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Politics·USA Election

Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

$83.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
780
Ended

Republicans win both

Winning candidate also wins popular vote?

Politics·USA Election

Winning candidate also wins popular vote?

$257k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended

Yes

Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?

Politics·palestine

Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?

$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Politics·USA Election

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

$124.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
408
Ended

GOP by 1-2%

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Politics·Trump

Popular Vote Winner 2024

$628.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4,552
Ended

Donald Trump

RFK Jr. popular vote share?

Politics·USA Election

RFK Jr. popular vote share?

$6.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended

<1%

Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Politics·referendum

Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
41
Ended

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Politics·USA Election

Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

$28.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended

155-160m

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?

USA Election · recount

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?

Politics·USA Election

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?

$496k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

How many votes will Trump get?

Politics·turnout

How many votes will Trump get?

$12.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

76-78m

Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?

Politics·USA Election

Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes?

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
61
Ended

Jill Stein

How many votes will Kamala Harris get?

Politics·USA Election

How many votes will Kamala Harris get?

$256k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

74-76m

Denmark Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Elections·Global Elections

Denmark Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Social Democrats 10–15%

Which party will win the popular vote in the next Canadian election?

World·Canadian Election

Which party will win the popular vote in the next Canadian election?

$5.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
80
Ended

Liberal Party

Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
144
Ended

No

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Politics·Canadian Election

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

$5.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

Liberals by 0-3%

ANO % of vote in Czech Election?

Elections·Global Elections

ANO % of vote in Czech Election?

$123k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

33–36%

SPOLU % of vote in Czech Election?

Elections·Global Elections

SPOLU % of vote in Czech Election?

$254k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

23–26%