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Third Party Predictions & Odds· 198 markets

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Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in US Election?

Politics·third party

Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in US Election?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended

No

Who will win Wisconsin?

Elections·wisconsin

Who will win Wisconsin?

$13.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
302
Ended

Donald Trump

Who will win Georgia?

Elections·republican party

Who will win Georgia?

$21.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
200
Ended

Donald Trump

Who will win Arizona?

Elections·republican party

Who will win Arizona?

$13.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
196
Ended

Donald Trump

Who will win Pennsylvania?

Politics·pennsylvania

Who will win Pennsylvania?

$33.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,374
Ended

Donald Trump

Who will win Nevada?

Politics·Nevada

Who will win Nevada?

$14.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
376
Ended

Donald Trump

Who will win Michigan?

Elections·presidential election

Who will win Michigan?

$28.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
463
Ended

Donald Trump

Who will win North Carolina?

Politics·republican party

Who will win North Carolina?

$15.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
236
Ended

Donald Trump

Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?

Politics·palestine

Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?

$225k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Politics·stein

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

$9.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,835
Ended

Yes

Where will the US & Iran meet in person?

Politics·Trump

Where will the US & Iran meet in person?

$3.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
233
Ended

Oman

US x Iran diplomatic meeting in person by...?

Politics·Kushner

US x Iran diplomatic meeting in person by...?

$23.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

February 6

Will 60 Minutes' CECOT story released in 2025?

Politics·TV

Will 60 Minutes' CECOT story released in 2025?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?

Geopolitics·Gaza

20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

No

OpenAI browser by October 24?

Tech·GPT-5

OpenAI browser by October 24?

$242k Vol.
$0 Liq.
670
Ended

Yes

Over 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Crypto·Worldcoin

Over 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
42
Ended

No

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Tech·OpenAI

OpenAI browser by October 31?

$5.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,313
Ended

Yes

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Politics·Ukraine

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

$8.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
449
Ended

Yes

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Tech·GPT-5

OpenAI browser by September 30?

$317k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,322
Ended

No

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

Politics·Foreign Policy

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

$173k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

No