Presidential Run Predictions & Odds· 176 markets

Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?

Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?

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No

Will Han Duck-soo register for presidential run?

Will Han Duck-soo register for presidential run?

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No

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

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No

Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?

No

Democratic candidates announce run for president before DNC?

Kamala Harris

Romania Presidential Election Winner

Romania Presidential Election Winner

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47,461
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Nicușor Dan

Romania Presidential Election 1st round 2nd place?

Romania Presidential Election 1st round 2nd place?

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30
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Nicușor Dan

Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June?

No

Which candidates advance to 2025 Chilean presidential runoff?

Jara & Kast

Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?

All

Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?

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No

Which pair advances to Bolivia runoff election?

Which pair advances to Bolivia runoff election?

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9
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Other

Turnout in 2025 Romanian Presidential Election?

Turnout in 2025 Romanian Presidential Election?

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198
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11.5–12m

Poland Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Poland Presidential Election Margin of Victory

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625
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Nawrocki 0-4%

Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory

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1,635
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Dan 6–12%

Ecuador Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Politics · Elections

Ecuador Presidential Election Margin of Victory

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4
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Daniel Noboa by 8% or more