Primary Election Predictions & Odds· 404 markets

90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$378k Vol.
$392k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$378k Vol.$392k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
65%
Eric Swalwell

98%
Stratton 6–9%

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
$36k Vol.
$96k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
$36k Vol.$96k Liq.2Ends in 5 months
80%
Tom Begich

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
$100k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
46%
Kenyan McDuffie

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
$504k Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$205k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$504k Vol.🔥$205k today$98k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
53%
Dan Cox

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$357k Vol.
$40k Liq.
🔥$170k today
Ends in 2 months
$357k Vol.🔥$170k today$40k Liq.Ends in 2 months
96%
Rob Sand

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
$245k Vol.
$41k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$245k Vol.$41k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
43%
Genter Drummond

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
$287k Vol.
$121k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$287k Vol.$121k Liq.4Ends in 4 months
54%
Lisa Demuth

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
$898k Vol.
$63k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$898k Vol.$63k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
96%
Vivek Ramaswamy

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner
$329k Vol.
$98k Liq.
10
Ends in about 2 months
$329k Vol.$98k Liq.10Ends in about 2 months
52%
Rick Jackson

95%
Mike Thompson

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$7k Vol.$23k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
56%
Robert Charles

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$18k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$18k Vol.$67k Liq.Ends in 2 months
34%
Nirav Shah

Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner
$9k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$9k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 5 months
47%
Michael Minogue

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
$57k Vol.
$58k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months
$57k Vol.$58k Liq.3Ends in about 2 months
46%
Ed Diehl

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner
$58k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$58k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
94%
Jim Pillen
