Primary Election Predictions & Odds· 404 markets

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

$638k Vol.
$88k Liq.
3
Ended

64%

Talarico & Paxton

WA-03 Primary Winners

WA-03 Primary Winners

$1k Vol.
$43k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months

90%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

$378k Vol.
$392k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months

65%

Eric Swalwell

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

$18k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ended

98%

Stratton 6–9%

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

$45k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

69%

Dem-Rep

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$36k Vol.
$96k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months

80%

Tom Begich

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

$100k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

46%

Kenyan McDuffie

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

$5k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

5%

Yes

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner

$504k Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$205k today
1
Ends in 3 months

53%

Dan Cox

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

$357k Vol.
$40k Liq.
🔥$170k today
Ends in 2 months

96%

Rob Sand

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

$245k Vol.
$41k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

43%

Genter Drummond

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

$287k Vol.
$121k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months

54%

Lisa Demuth

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

$898k Vol.
$63k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month

96%

Vivek Ramaswamy

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

$329k Vol.
$98k Liq.
10
Ends in about 2 months

52%

Rick Jackson

CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

$4k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

95%

Mike Thompson

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner

$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months

56%

Robert Charles

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

$18k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

34%

Nirav Shah

Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner

Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner

$9k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 5 months

47%

Michael Minogue

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner

$57k Vol.
$58k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 months

46%

Ed Diehl

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

$58k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

94%

Jim Pillen