Product Release Predictions & Odds· 148 markets
Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$16k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$16k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
45%
0.1-0.3%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$254k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$254k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
56%
Yes
40%
1.5–1.9%
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
$145k Vol.
$2k Liq.
17
Ended
$145k Vol.$2k Liq.17Ended
74%
Yes
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$204k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$204k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 17 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 10 months
15%
Yes
Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$509 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$509 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
47%
0.5-1.0%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$22k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
2.5–3.0%
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$80k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$80k Vol.$5k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
90%
Yes
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
Yes
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$4k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$4k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
38%
Head-mounted display
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$112 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$112 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$3k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
66%
Yes
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
$106k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$106k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
79%
Yes
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$19k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31