Humanoid Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$68k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$68k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
48%
Yes
8%
Yes
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
3%
Yes
Claude Mythos released by…?
$38k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$38k Vol.$22k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
3%
Yes
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$905k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$905k Vol.$99k Liq.Ends in 3 months
96%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Esports · league of legends
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$998 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$0 Vol.$998 Liq.Ends in 6 days
76%
RED Canids
Esports · league of legends
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
57%
Team WE
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
76%
600B+
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
$0 Vol.
$43 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$43 Liq.Ends in 4 days
51%
SPARTA
Esports · league of legends
LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
$0 Vol.
$708 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$0 Vol.$708 Liq.Ends in 7 days
71%
LOS
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Void Sentinels (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B
$0 Vol.
$73 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$73 Liq.Ends in 4 days
51%
BET-M 33
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+