Reconciliation Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$355k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$355k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
2%
Yes
26%
Yes
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
160-179
85%
Nothing
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$135 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$135 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$17k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$17k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$290k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$290k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
73%
Nothing