Reconciliation Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

All

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

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Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Mitch McConnell

How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

217–218

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

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July 1-6

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

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July 4

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

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End Tax on Tips

When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

July 4

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

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July 4

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

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No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

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No

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

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Yes

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

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No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

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No

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

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No

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

trade · shipping

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

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June 30

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

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Yes

Nothing Ever Happens

Nothing Ever Happens

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Yes