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Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

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C
California Prop 50 winning margin?

Politics·Nov 4 Elections

California Prop 50 winning margin?

$536k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

28–29%

B
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

Politics·gavin newsom

By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

20-30%

C
California redistricting referendum passes?

Politics·gavin newsom

California redistricting referendum passes?

$562k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

W
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

Politics·FL

Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

C
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

Politics·gavin newsom

California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

W
Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

Politics

Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended

No

A
Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?

Politics·Texas Redistricting

Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

A
Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?

Politics·Texas Redistricting

Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

W
Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

Politics·US Election

Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

W
Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?

Politics·US Election

Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

Politics·Margin of Victory

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

220-224

#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

Politics·UK Election

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

<125

H
How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

Politics·All

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

$384k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

2

W
Who will win each swing district?

Politics·USA Election

Who will win each swing district?

$507k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Clark, NV (Las Vegas)

E
Election called by...?

Politics·USA Election

Election called by...?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Wednesday, Nov 6

C
California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

Politics·primary election

California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Steve Garvey

I
Iceland Legislative Election

Politics·Global Elections

Iceland Legislative Election

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

Social Democrats (S)

W
Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

All

Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

$139k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Vince Fong

#
# of GOP seats in House of Representatives

Politics·conggress

# of GOP seats in House of Representatives

$45.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
401
Ended

220

E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

Elections·All

EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

EPP