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Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

AllPoliticsUSA Election2024 ElectionsTrumpElectionsGavin NewsomElectionAdam SchiffSenatesCaliforniaPrimary ElectionLaphonza ButlerBarbara Lee2024 Ca Senate PrimaryKatie PorterElection 2024ReferendumIcelandSuper Tuesday2024 Senate PrimarySteve GarveyTexasIlhan OmarUS ElectionAocGlobal ElectionsSwing StatesUK ElectionEnglandBritainAyanna PressleyJamaal BowmanRashida TlaibKamalaHouse RacesMarginMargin Of VictoryAPDeclareElection NightAssocaited PressConggressMidtermsTexas RedistrictingElection Rigging Response Act)Proposition 50Nov 4 ElectionsPropProp 50Redistricting
California Prop 50 winning margin?

Politics·Nov 4 Elections

California Prop 50 winning margin?

$536k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

28–29%

By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

Politics·gavin newsom

By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

20-30%

California redistricting referendum passes?

Politics·gavin newsom

California redistricting referendum passes?

$562k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

Politics·gavin newsom

California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

Yes

Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

Politics

Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended

No

Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?

Politics·Texas Redistricting

Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?

Politics·Texas Redistricting

Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

Politics·US Election

Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?

Politics·US Election

Will the Texas House vote on HB 4 by August 19?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

Politics·Margin of Victory

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

220-224

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

Politics·UK Election

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

<125

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

Politics·All

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

$384k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

2

Who will win each swing district?

Politics·USA Election

Who will win each swing district?

$507k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Clark, NV (Las Vegas)

Election called by...?

Politics·USA Election

Election called by...?

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Wednesday, Nov 6

California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

Politics·primary election

California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Steve Garvey

Iceland Legislative Election

Politics·Global Elections

Iceland Legislative Election

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

Social Democrats (S)

Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

All

Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy?

$139k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Vince Fong

# of GOP seats in House of Representatives

Politics·conggress

# of GOP seats in House of Representatives

$45.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
401
Ended

220

EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

Elections·All

EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

EPP

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

Politics·Global Elections

# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

$195k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

400-424