Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 113 markets
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$51k Liq.
5
Ends in 19 days
$237k Vol.$51k Liq.5Ends in 19 days
92%
Yes
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$409 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$409 Liq.Ends in 7 months
80%
Yes
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$93k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$93k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
35%
Below 190
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
2
20%
115-120m
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$588k Vol.
$52k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$588k Vol.$52k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
34%
24–25
O
91%
Democratic Party
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$18k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
B
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?
$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$364k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
20-30%
C
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes
W
Politics
Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?
$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
$29k Vol.$0 Liq.34Ended
No
A
No
