Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$731 Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$3k Vol.$731 Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$493 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$493 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$131k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$131k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
19%
115-120m
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$55k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$55k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
33%
24–25
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
91%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
54%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
27%
≤47
91%
Republican Party
40%
7-9
91%
Republican Party
94%
Republican Party
88%
Republican Party