Prop 50 Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
93%
Democratic Party
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$70k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$70k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
94%
Democratic Party
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
85%
Democratic Party
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$50k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$226 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$226 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$561 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$561 Liq.Ends in 7 months
15%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$743 Vol.
$697 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$743 Vol.$697 Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 11 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 11 hours
98%
Yes
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?
$207k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$207k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes