Refinery Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$134k Vol.
$142k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$134k Vol.$142k Liq.Ends in 27 days
30%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
M
51%
Yes
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$602k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$602k Vol.$37k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $3
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$95k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$95k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
69%
↓ 0.0014
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$120k today$17k Liq.173
15%
Yes
W
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$132k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$132k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes
C
Sports · Games
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club
$33 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$33 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
55%
Racing Club
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?
$0 Vol.
$17 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$0 Vol.$17 Liq.Ends in 4 days
50%
Up
U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$160k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$160k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 12 days
99%
Yes
K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
43%
<5
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$434k Liq.
🔥$158k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$158k today$434k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
63%
>$600M
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
$659k Vol.
$121k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$659k Vol.$121k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
78%
↑ 46
K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$10k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 5 days
42%
20-24
K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$34k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$34k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 1 day
82%
<20
Q
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
$16k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$16k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 27 days
10%
Yes
R
Sports · Japan J2 League
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Ventforet Kōfu
$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$0 Vol.$18 Liq.Ends in 27 days
51%
RB Ōmiya Ardija
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 2?
$396 Vol.
$316 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$396 Vol.$316 Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
94%
Up
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$293k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$293k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
51%
↑ 0.50