Refinery Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$102k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$109k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
Ras Laffan Industrial City
16%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
45%
Yes
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $4
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 10
Sports · Games
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club
$13 Vol.
$260 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$13 Vol.$260 Liq.Ends in 8 days
60%
Racing Club
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$27k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
92%
<20
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$442k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$442k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
34%
<5
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
$619k Vol.
$133k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$619k Vol.$133k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
74%
↑ 46
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$291k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
51%
↑ 0.50
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$1k Vol.
$719 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$1k Vol.$719 Liq.Ends in 1 day
44%
↓ 39000
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
100%
$52
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40