Refinery Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
$132k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$132k Vol.$144k Liq.Ends in 28 days
30%
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$11k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
M
52%
Yes
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$599k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$599k Vol.$37k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
16%
↑ $3
W
Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$132k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$132k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$536k Vol.
$15k Liq.
🔥$131k today
172
$536k Vol.🔥$131k today$15k Liq.172
16%
Yes
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$95k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$95k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
69%
↓ 0.0014
W
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?
$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$18k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
No
W
Ruwais Refinery
W
Chip
M
trade · shipping
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.27Ended
June 30
E
Harry Kane
N
Other (Incl. Pezeshkian)