Maritime Transport Predictions & Odds· 348 markets

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$648k Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$351k today
17
Ends in about 1 month

27%

United States

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

35%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$247k today
Ends in about 8 hours

97%

0-10

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

65%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

42%

30-34

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$327k Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$186k today
Ends in 3 days

81%

0-10

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 8 hours

1%

Yes

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

9%

Yes

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$237k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

21%

April 30

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

$71k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

6%

April 30

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

$731k Vol.
$86k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month

8%

June 30

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

$204k Vol.
$150k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

9%

Pete Hegseth

Will the US deport illegal migrants to Argentina by March 31?

Will the US deport illegal migrants to Argentina by March 31?

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 8 hours

0%

Yes

Marco Rubio visits China by...?

Marco Rubio visits China by...?

$48k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

65%

December 31

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$413k Vol.
$30k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

85%

Yes

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

$79k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

2%

Yes

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

$50k Vol.
$25k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

62%

Yes

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

$5.2m Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$66k today
336
Ended

46%

April 30