Maersk Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$117k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$117k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
52%
30-34

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$632k Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$397k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$632k Vol.🔥$397k today$129k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
43%
United States

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$64k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
98%
<5

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
<2

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$434k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$434k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
0-10

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$603k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
4%
20+

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$98k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
4%
March 31

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 5

47%
Yes

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$113k Liq.
🔥$175k today
121
Ends in about 13 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$175k today$113k Liq.121Ends in about 13 hours
30%
April 30

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$25k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$426k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ended
$426k Vol.$50k Liq.Ended
54%
20-24

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 13 hours
$50k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes

US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026

maersk · shipping
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?
$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
$24k Vol.$0 Liq.5Ended
No

trade · shipping
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?
$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
$11k Vol.$0 Liq.27Ended
June 30