Sally Kornbluth Predictions & Odds· 117 markets
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
G
NCAA Basketball · Sports
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. La Salle Explorers
$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$18 Liq.Ended
50%
George Washington Revolutionaries
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 days
$29k Vol.$2k Liq.4Ends in 5 days
41%
51–60
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
red card · Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards
$14k Vol.
$471 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$471 Liq.Ends in about 2 months
45%
Pere Pons Riera
U
Europa League · Soccer
UEFA Europa League: Most Cards
$2k Vol.
$296 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$2k Vol.$296 Liq.Ends in about 2 months
56%
Elliot Anderson
U
Soccer · Champions League
UEFA Champions League: Most Cards
$3k Vol.
$84 Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$84 Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
48%
Lamine Yamal
C
Central African Republic National Assembly Election Winner
$110k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ended
$110k Vol.$37k Liq.Ended
98%
MCU
N
41%
Yes
N
93%
Republican Party
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
160-179
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$252 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$252 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
President 50+ times
H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$635 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$4 Vol.$635 Liq.Ends in 28 days
42%
30 - 35 minutes
U
1%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$119k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$119k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 1 day
84%
200+
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
19%
April 30
C
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C
$986 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$986 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
63%
ShindeN
C
57%
June 30