Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 152 markets
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.1m Vol.
$442k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31.1m Vol.$442k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
$86k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$86k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$197k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$197k Vol.$102k Liq.Ends in 9 months
93%
China
W
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
$235k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$235k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
U
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
M
53%
Yes
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$656k Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$140k today
229
$656k Vol.🔥$140k today$16k Liq.229
99%
Yes
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$361k Vol.
$31k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$361k Vol.$31k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
84%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$13k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$13k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 7 days
34%
180-199
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$169k Vol.
$35k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$169k Vol.🔥$58k today$35k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
200+
#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$21k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$21k Vol.$22k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
32%
2
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$312k Vol.
$23k Liq.
🔥$93k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$312k Vol.🔥$93k today$23k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
96%
80-99
W
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
$575k Vol.
$386k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$575k Vol.$386k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
79%
↓ 60
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.6m Vol.
$444k Liq.
🔥$152k today
259
Ends in 3 months
$14.6m Vol.🔥$152k today$444k Liq.259Ends in 3 months
65%
>$600M
#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$22k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 2 months
56%
10+