Speaker Predictions & Odds· 114 markets
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$97k Vol.
$16k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$16k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
52%
December 31, 2026
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.4m Vol.
$534k Liq.
150
Ends in 7 months
$4.4m Vol.$534k Liq.150Ends in 7 months
52%
Democrats Sweep
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$554k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$554k Liq.Ends in 7 months
86%
Democratic Party
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$361k Vol.
$31k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$361k Vol.$31k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
84%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$313k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$313k Vol.$22k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
$62k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$62k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 5 days
96%
Mr. Speaker 10+ times
W
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$3.4m Vol.
$698k Liq.
🔥$440k today
Ends in 27 days
$3.4m Vol.🔥$440k today$698k Liq.Ends in 27 days
94%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$129k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$129k Vol.$104k Liq.Ends in 27 days
74%
W
Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?
$30 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$30 Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 27 days
52%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$23k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$23k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in 27 days
87%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 27 days
26%
Anthropic
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?
$538 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$538 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
86%
1520
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
$2k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$2k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 6 months
92%
1510
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
$0 Vol.
$859 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$0 Vol.$859 Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
50%
Up
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 19 hours
50%
Up
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
$0 Vol.
$714 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$0 Vol.$714 Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
50%
Up
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
50%
Up
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
50%
Up
H
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 18 hours
50%
Up