State Of The Union Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

Longest applause at State of the Union?

Longest applause at State of the Union?

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

36%

70 - 90 seconds

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Politics · Geopolitics

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$109k Vol.
$42k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

$2.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months

35%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

42%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$18k Liq.
59

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$129k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

16%

Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

69%

Not revealed in 2026

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$16k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

74%

60-79

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

43%

60-79

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

$77k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 14 hours

0%

Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

41%

60-79

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

$5k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

84%

Epic Fury

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

$26k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

Politics

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours

98%

Yes

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

13%

Yes

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

$78k Vol.
$28k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes