Syria Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$39k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months
$1.7m Vol.$39k Liq.33Ends in 9 months
16%
December 31, 2026

22%
June 30

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
$56k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
$419k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$419k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$89k Vol.
$52k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$89k Vol.$52k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Tunisia

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
$874k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$874k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
28%
December 31

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$185k Liq.
🔥$284k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$284k today$185k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
Bahrain

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$164k Vol.
$156k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$164k Vol.$156k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$336k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$178k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$178k Vol.$99k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China

Israel strike on Damascus by...?
$167k Vol.
$6k Liq.
32
Ends in about 11 hours
$167k Vol.$6k Liq.32Ends in about 11 hours
5%
Yes

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 10

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

46%
Yes

Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$62k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$62k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
98%
March 28

US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
14%
April 30