Taiwan Election Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$10k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$10k Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
93%
BJP
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
$5k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
59%
DISY
Politics · World
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner
$1.6m Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$158k today
11
Ends in about 1 month
$1.6m Vol.🔥$158k today$90k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
96%
Scottish National Party
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$107k Vol.
$142k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$107k Vol.$142k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$153k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$153k Vol.$175k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
21%
Yes
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$31k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$31k Vol.$47k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
31%
50-54%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$10.6m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$96k today
Ends in about 8 hours
$10.6m Vol.🔥$96k today$3.9m Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
0%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.$125k Liq.Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$24k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$24k Liq.57Ended
54%
59-60%
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote
$31k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$31k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 12 days
36%
40-44%
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
$365 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$365 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
39%
December 31
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
$172k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$172k Vol.$63k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
57%
80+
67%
55-60%
Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?
$64k Vol.
$67k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days
$64k Vol.$67k Liq.3Ends in 12 days
83%
90+